Monday, January 23, 2017

Well, that was quick - I thought we might be seeing the start of a walk back re moving the embassy and now looks like that’s the case. Of course, this could mean any number of things, but most likely is it’s a walk back. Too bad if that’s true - think it’s a bad move for various reasons. One thing for sure - if someone like Trump is unwilling to get tough with the Palestinians, then no one who will ever sit in the Oval Office will be - which means, I think, Israel will have to take the matter into their own hands with unilateral action - I’d guess that’s where this is going.

[the problem emerges quickly - on the same day you indicate a walk back of something that just a few weeks ago you were asserting as if it were a sure thing, you talk about denying China’s usurpation of the South China Sea - ie the message being sent, at least in foreign policy terms, is that this administration - so far - is all about rhetorical brashness utterly lacking in substance - the message I’m getting is that no one in the Trump inner circle has really put any serious thought into any of this - to them they're still in campaign mode - it’s all about appearances - thus the fixation on inauguration crowd size and Trump going on today about how when you discount 5 million illegal votes - a statistic no one can prove - he actually won the popular vote - it’s all very worrying - to me it adds up to a rough start - although many presidents have had rough starts so how things look a month from now is still hard to predict]