Saturday, January 21, 2017

So… what now? I expect a big show involving pen being wielded against a lot of Obama garbage - expect a lot of talk about ACA but not much action at first - expect Putin will reach out re Syria but imagine that will be a trap of some sort - China? Kinda think they’ll play it cool at first and let Trump make first move - looks like Erdogan is on the verge of successfully establishing his sultanate, so given the way Flynn has talked in the past about that proto-tyranny should be interesting to see how the new administration responds - but the biggy is Jerusalem - Trump has telegraphed an urgency re embassy move, Israel has telegraphed urgency re ‘a new relationship’ with a sympathetic president - can’t now act in a way that isn’t urgent and thus projects weakness right off the bat - so expect within two weeks something definitive re Jerusalem and then we’ll be in a better position to hazard guesses on what the Trump presidency is gonna look like.