Tuesday, July 15, 2014

Does Israel actually want a ceasefire with Hamas? Safe to assume Egypt, who is brokering the would-be deal, doesn't actually want it to happen - they'd be quite content to let Israel decimate Hamas even though for public consumption amongst Muslims they have to pretend to be outraged etc etc - but what about Israel? Of course they have to sound willing since the benighted world will continue to hold them responsible for everything awful in the Mideast and Obama will insinuate as much as well because he clearly is one with the blame Israel first crowd - so they have to sound like they want ‘peace’ but I can't believe that’s true unless the original objective to seriously degrade Hamas’ abilities has been met and I don't see that - damage has been done, sure, but Hamas wanted damage to be done since their whole purpose and method is to portray themselves as brave Muslim martyrs taking the good fight to the sin against Allah that is Israel - therefore stopping the ‘war’ now makes little sense.

Which raises the interesting question: without the unconditional support of America, which is absolutely required to push back against the inevitable anti-Jewish idiocy world opinion will spew forth, can Israel fight the battles it needs to fight in the way they need to fight them? In other words, without the unconditional support of America, is any ‘war’ Israel is forced to fight lost before it even begins regardless of the actual outcome? And if so, in the end do they really have any other choice but to fight them all the same since the alternative to war is a peace that is false and seeks to ruin them?

I’d say Hamas believes it has the upper hand because it’s convinced Israel will continue to resist coming to that final conclusion even if it has accepted the truth of it - and in keeping with Hamas, Obama believes this too which is why he has acted all along as if he can force Israel into accepting a ‘peace’ with people they know cannot be trusted.

Israel needs the appearance of America’s unconditional support [appearance since logically no support can be absolutely unconditional] and it does not have that from Obama and they know it and Hamas knows it - so what happens now?

[what happens now apparently is that Hamas rejects ceasefire and Israel resumes offensive - again, I'd say this is because Hamas feels Israel will not fully unleash the dogs of war because of perception they cannot win regardless of winning - and the reason Hamas feels this way far as I'm concerned is because Obama has given every indication that he is not a wholehearted supporter of Israel and this leaves Israel vulnerable to being overwhelmed by the miasma of idiocy that is 'world opinion' - and so the question becomes does Israel unleash the dogs regardless - I think the logic implied by dynamics suggests they have no choice but to do just that - reports that Netanyahu has issued ultimatum to Hamas to capitulate or face annihilation indicates I'm right]