Monday, August 5, 2013
Well, I guess the test of whether progressives or conservative sceptics have a better grasp of what can be expected from Iran and its new moderate president is still on because the the liberal commentariat seems flushed with a reborn belief in magic, convinced that the theocracy has turned a corner towards better relations with the West - Rouhani calling Israel a blemish staining the pure visage of Islam and smiling like a contented grandmother before a crowd chanting death to the Zionist demons wasn't convincing enough for them apparently of maybe there being another reality [running out the clock] in play here - nor did the presence of a North Korean delegation in Tehran this week sour their eager hearts - nope, the progressives are waving their magic sticks with great whimsy in the turgid air so seems we'll have to wait till Iran actually tests a nuke to see who got this thing right. My Vegas line on when that happens - within eighteen months. [you're not expecting Israel to embrace the military option? Ah, ya know, that's very hard to guess on - I'd say only a handful of people in the Pentagon know with any certainty what Israel's true capabilities are viz running an operation like that alone - and I believe it'd have to be alone since I always thought Obama was lying when he said he wouldn't let Iran go nuclear - so, without knowing Israel's true capabilities it's impossible to guess on what they'll do - my thinking is the job's just too big for them to do alone, but we'll see]
