I seem to have lost interest in the GOP primary - probably because it seems to be going down the depressing road I thought it might and I just wanna jump to the end to see how much I got right - I'm especially curious to see, should Romney lose the upcoming Michigan primary, if my wildest prediction comes true - namely, that ol' Mitt gives up trying to please the republican base and splinters off to form a third presidential party. I don't know the logistics of such a thing so I have no idea if it's even possible - but it makes sense. Certainly the talk is ramping up about the possibility of a contested or brokered convention that results in a late entry candidate like Daniels being installed - but from what I've read that's a long shot, hard to do - just forming a third presidential party may make more sense. Since Romney's flaws are so primary specific, the optics on him would become a lot more pleasing freed from the idiocy of the GOP base - you're seeing happening to him exactly what happened to Hillary in 2008 - the more she was forced to reach out to the liberal base in response to the Obama tide, the less appealing she became as the 'serious' candidate - and then at that point the base is controlling the narrative - if Santorum wins Michigan the social conservatives and their allies will be in control of the narrative and Romney can only diminish himself in trying to satisfy that wretched lot.
Sure, he could still go on and win the nomination - but the risk of that becoming a pyrrhic victory rises sharply - plus, like I said, his flaws are very primary specific - the more he has to reach out to the uber right, the more he confirms their opinion of him as being a phoney - I don't know game theory but I assume there's a game that applies here - there comes a time, and that may be Michigan, when if he wants to be president there's nothing to be gained by remaining in the GOP primary - everything becomes a loss if even in winning the presidency recedes further from view - Santorum's a winner no matter what because no one expected him to do anything - but for Romney it's win the presidency otherwise it's a huge waste of time. Which is why a third party run makes sense to me [assuming the logistics of it are doable] should he lose Michigan. Either that or just get out of the race - I mean, he's a very successful man - why would he need this shit if it isn't going to end in the presidency?
Sure, he could still go on and win the nomination - but the risk of that becoming a pyrrhic victory rises sharply - plus, like I said, his flaws are very primary specific - the more he has to reach out to the uber right, the more he confirms their opinion of him as being a phoney - I don't know game theory but I assume there's a game that applies here - there comes a time, and that may be Michigan, when if he wants to be president there's nothing to be gained by remaining in the GOP primary - everything becomes a loss if even in winning the presidency recedes further from view - Santorum's a winner no matter what because no one expected him to do anything - but for Romney it's win the presidency otherwise it's a huge waste of time. Which is why a third party run makes sense to me [assuming the logistics of it are doable] should he lose Michigan. Either that or just get out of the race - I mean, he's a very successful man - why would he need this shit if it isn't going to end in the presidency?
