Well, maybe I've got this all wrong, or somewhat wrong, or not quite accurately nuanced. Two interesting numbers come out: white voter turnout was way down; astoundingly, nearly 41% of people say Obama's response to hurricane Sandy influenced their vote.
The suppression of white voter turnout is testament to the wisdom of Obama's entirely cynical strategy to run, not on his record, not on any inspiring or even just simply inspired future agenda, but rather run on the manufactured narrative of Romney not being a very 'nice' person. The 41% of people saying that Sandy influenced their vote is testament to the dispiritingly bitter reality of democracy: the average voter is a fucking moron.
But these two data points don't really disprove what I'm saying - in fact they by and large support it - yes, although changing demographics may not be the GOP killing blob that one may be tempted to think it this evolving new dynamic does make the game harder, the hill to climb steeper - blacks, Hispanics and Asians make up some 30% of the electorate and they all went in overwhelming numbers to Obama. The black vote I think if you're a conservative you can just write off, in no foreseeable future will blacks in any large numbers be voting republican. Hispanics and Asians are much more fertile ground for the right [although one suspects strident views in the base on immigration will remain a significant problem here] - especially Asians who, given their strong family values and financial success, should be natural right wing voters - and yet they scorned Romney.
They scorned Romney because voters are simplistic in their thinking and the cynically simplistic narrative Obama was plying got through - it's all about media bias - you cannot get away with what Obama just got away with unless you know the media is going to carry your water for you - you don't get away with the 'republican war on women' meme unless you know the media is gonna help you sell it - you don't get away with telling scurrilous lies about your opponent unless you know the media isn't going to challenge you on it - you don't get away with a severe foreign policy breakdown just two months before the election and suffer apparently few repercussions for this at the polls unless you have the media in your pocket and running cover for you - you don't convince white voters who don't like Obama to simply stay home rather than voting for the other guy unless the media has taken your message to them that there's just something wrong about that other guy. The take away for conservatives is obvious: candidates must have the attributes required to defeat the deficit of a left biased media. This has probably always been true - Reagan didn't simply win because demographics back then were more favorable - it was also because he was a very charming, affable guy - but make no mistake, the changing demographics are creating challenges that make the media deficit increasingly problematic and the GOP must come up with solutions - cause the way it stands now, with the media running mail for them all democrats have to do is find an Hispanic version of Obama and 2016 is theirs too - although on the plus side, the Hispanic version of Obama may in fact be a republican - Rubio.
